Q3 2025 Market Commentary

At a Glance

Advisory Highlight – Life After the Inflation Surge

  • Inflation has cooled, but the price level remains permanently higher, squeezing household budgets.
  • Clients are revisiting cash flow, savings rates, and debt priorities to adjust to this new cost environment.
  • Our Retirement VIEW Plan stress-tests spending and retirement timelines across multiple inflation paths to keep long-term goals on track.

Market Review

  • U.S. markets strengthened as inflation eased and rate cuts supported risk assets, with AI-linked sectors leading performance.
  • Canadian equities held firm despite softer growth, led by gold, energy, and solid bank earnings.
  • Europe posted modest gains while Asia remained mixed, with China still in deflation but Japan and India showing resilience.

Investment Theme – Humanoid Robots and AI Enablement

  • Humanoid robotics moved closer to commercial reality as AI models, hardware, and enterprise adoption advanced.
  • Early deployments in logistics, manufacturing, and health care show meaningful productivity potential.
  • We focus on the enabling layers—chips, sensors, motion control, and cloud AI infrastructure—where long-term value is most durable.

Portfolio Highlights

  • Alibaba: Scaling its AI ecosystem through Qwen models and growing cloud demand.
  • ASML: Sustaining leadership in EUV lithography as global chip investment accelerates.
  • Together, these positions anchor our exposure to high-quality companies driving the AI enablement cycle.

Tall Oak Pooled Funds

  • Capital Appreciation Pool: Positioned for long-term growth with a disciplined mix of quality equities, fixed income, and alternatives.
  • Diversified Income Pool: Focused on stable dividends and consistent returns through high-quality bonds, income-oriented alternative investments, and dividend-paying equities.

Read the Report

The views expressed in this commentary are those of Tall Oak Capital Advisors as at the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. This commentary is presented only as a general source of information and is not intended as a solicitation to buy or sell specific investments, nor is it intended to provide tax or legal advice. Statistics, factual data and other information are from sources Tall Oak believes to be reliable but their accuracy cannot be guaranteed. This commentary is intended for distribution only in those jurisdictions where Tall Oak Capital Advisors are registered. Securities-related products and services are offered through Raymond James Correspondent Services Ltd., member Canadian Investor Protection Fund. Insurance products and services are offered through Gryphin Advantage Inc., which is not a member-Canadian Investor Protection Fund. This commentary may provide links to other Internet sites for the convenience of users. Tall Oak Capital Advisors is not responsible for the availability or content of these external sites, nor does Tall Oak Capital Advisors endorse, warrant or guarantee the products, services or information described or offered at these other Internet sites. Users cannot assume that the external sites will abide by the same Privacy Policy which Tall Oak Capital Advisors adheres to.